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Sunday, 14 April 2024

A Wall Street Journal poll shows that abortion rights may be decisive this fall

Everybody's talking about that New York Times poll (free link) showing that President Biden has more or less caught up with Donald Trump. But I think the results of a Wall Street Journal poll (free link) published Friday evening is a lot more significant…
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A Wall Street Journal poll shows that abortion rights may be decisive this fall

Dan Kennedy

April 14

Everybody's talking about that New York Times poll (free link) showing that President Biden has more or less caught up with Donald Trump. But I think the results of a Wall Street Journal poll (free link) published Friday evening is a lot more significant. It shows that abortions rights are by far the most most important issue for suburban women who live in seven swing states: 39%, with immigration coming in second at 16% and the economy at 7%.

As the Journal puts it in its lead: "Abortion is the most powerful issue driving suburban women who could decide the presidential election."

Given that the election is almost certainly going to come down to turnout, the Journal poll bodes well for Biden. Of course, if Democrats fail to take back the House and hold on to the Senate, it will be for naught, since the party won't be able to codify Roe v. Wade as it has promised. But abortion rights will be the major issue in House and Senate races as well, so who knows what might happen?

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