[New post] After $440 million, both sports betting ballot measures are underwater
gqlshare posted: "They say money can't buy you happiness — and that was likely true Tuesday for the proponents of two dueling initiatives on California's Nov. 8 ballot to legalize sports betting.After all the money raised by the four campaigns on both sides of Propositions" The Willits News
Prop. 26, which would allow Native American casinos and California's four horse race tracks to offer in-person sports betting and permit tribal casinos to begin offering roulette and dice games, was supported by just 31% of likely voters, compared to 42% opposed and 27% undecided, according to the poll. Prop. 26 is backed by a large coalition of Native American tribes.
Prop. 27, which would allow licensed tribes and large gaming companies to offer online and mobile sports betting outside tribal lands, was supported by just 27% of likely voters, with 53% opposed and 20% undecided. Prop. 27 is backed by online gaming companies, including DraftKings and FanDuel, and three Native American tribes.
The campaigns don't have much time to change Californians' minds: County elections offices are required to begin mailing ballots to all active, registered voters no later than Monday, and Election Day is just five weeks away.
The poll also found that the campaigns' oodles of cash may actually be a liability: Voters who reported having seen lots of ads about Props. 26 and 27 were more likely by "wide margins" to oppose both measures than voters who had seen few or no ads.
Kathy Fairbanks, a spokesperson for the Yes on 26/No on 27 campaign, told the Los Angeles Times that her side is grateful "that voters appear to be rejecting the out-of-state gambling corporations and their $170-million campaign of deception."
Nathan Click, a spokesperson for the Yes on 27 campaign, told the Times that Prop. 27 has faced "over $100 million in misleading and false attacks — $45 million before we even qualified for the ballot. It's telling these same opponents haven't spent a dime supporting their own sports betting proposal," Prop. 26.
Other key takeaways from the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies poll:
57% of likely voters support Prop. 31, which would uphold a 2020 law signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom banning the sale of certain flavored tobacco products, while 31% oppose it and want the law to be overturned. Another 12% are undecided.
49% of likely voters support Prop. 30, which would levy a new tax on millionaires to fund electric car programs and other climate initiatives, while 37% oppose it and 14% are undecided.
In the gubernatorial race, 53% of likely voters plan to vote for Newsom, the Democratic incumbent, while 32% say they'll support his challenger, Republican state Sen. Brian Dahle of Bieber. Support for Newsom has remained more or less steady since Berkeley's August survey, while support for Dahle ticked up 7 percentage points — though not nearly enough to make a dent in the uphill battle Republicans face in deep-blue California.
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